Monday, August 31, 2020

Oregon State Police Are Back In Portland - And This Time They Will Be Sticking Around

Oregon State Police Are Back In Portland - And This Time They Will Be Sticking Around Tyler Durden Mon, 08/31/2020 - 21:05 While progressives, anarchists, socialists, agitators and their 'woke' enablers in the mainstream press blame right-wing - or 'white supremacist' - groups like 'Patriot Prayer' for the murder of one of the group's own members, the reality is that Oregon Gov. Kate Brown and Portland Mayor Ted Wheeler left an opening for violence to escalate when they pulled out the state police. Regular readers may remember that President Trump and Department of Homeland Security acting Secretary Chad Wolf finally withdrew federal troops from Portland after reaching a deal for the State Police to protect a federal courthouse in the city. Soon after, Oregon's leading Democrats pulled the reinforcements. But now that a man has been killed, they're realizing the downside of pandering to unstable anarchists. So - in accordance with the plan released by Brown Sunday night - Oregon's State Police are returning to Portland on Monday, and this time, it looks like they'll be there for a while. At least until the protests, which have endured for 3.5 months, quiet down. In order to try and make it seem like the police surge is intended to fight crime in the community, rather than serving as a 'dangerous occupying force' (as progressive critics will inevitably label it), Brown has secured "additional resources" from the FBI and the US Attorney's office. Governor Kate Brown, a Democrat, released a plan Sunday night in response to violence that she said was stoked by an armed right-wing group called Patriot Prayer. In addition to bringing in state police, the Federal Bureau of Investigation and the U.S. Attorney would commit more resources to prosecuting criminal offenders. "Every Oregonian has the right to freely express their views without fear of deadly violence. I will not allow Patriot Prayer and armed white supremacists to bring more bloodshed to our streets," Brown said in a statement. The locals - and the professional agitators from out of town - gave the state troopers a hero's welcome Monday night by pelting the with eggs and other projectiles. Police said 29 people were arrested at the "unlawful gathering" in northeastern Portland. Two of those arrested had loaded handguns on their persons. Others had knives, and rocks. While Brown, Wheeler and other Democrats continue to focus their rhetoric on dangerous "white supremacist" groups, the man identified as the shooter in Saturday's fatal shooting described himself as "100% Antifa" during a recent interview. Gov. Brown underscored her kinder, gentler approach to policing Portland by confirming a new superintendent of the Oregon State Police. Her name is Terri Davie, and she's a 24-year veteran of law enforcement in the state, according to the Oregonian. "Terri brings a wealth of law enforcement experience to this role and a strong record of leading by example," Brown said during a statement. "She brings a focus on inclusivity and is dedicated to listening to community voices - including Oregon’s Black, Indigenous, People of Color, and Tribal communities - as we work towards a more fair and just law enforcement system in Oregon." Meanwhile, as backlash to the shooting crystallizes national opposition to the professional protester class, a large group of agitators who have been heavily trading on their first amendment right to peaceably assemble, Eric Weinstein responded to a clip of one agitator gloating over the killing of the man on Saturday. "I am not sad that a fuckin' fascist died tonight." I'm sorry that the world didn't give you the love you deserved. I could say something nasty to make myself feel better. But honestly, what I see is grown kids in our streets playing games of life & death w/ no parents anywhere. https://t.co/PIYXxNYCQQ — Eric Weinstein (@EricRWeinstein) August 31, 2020 Cards on the table, I don't like anything about you from what I can see of you in this clip. But I bet what you need is a hug, a future and a family. Like the rest of us. And, if you will accept this from a stranger enraged by your heartlessness, I'm rooting for you anyway. — Eric Weinstein (@EricRWeinstein) August 31, 2020 And strength. Because your road back is not going to be a short one. But it is possible. Courage. Good luck. — Eric Weinstein (@EricRWeinstein) August 31, 2020 Now that's some sad commentary.
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Luongo: Did Trump's Federalism Just Win Him The Election?

Luongo: Did Trump's Federalism Just Win Him The Election? Tyler Durden Mon, 08/31/2020 - 20:25 Authored by Tom Luongo via Gold, Goats, 'n Guns blog, For months we’ve been told that President Trump has trailed Democrat Joe Biden in the opinion polls. His odds of winning were vanishingly small. From the moment the George Floyd protests turned into violent riots, Trump refused the call of conservative pundits to invoke the Insurrection Act of 1878 in Minneapolis. They were wrong to jump the gun. Trump was being goaded into acting like a dictator which the Democrats would have pounced on him for. It was too early in the cycle. He had to, politically, take a punch in the mouth and allow things to get out of hand. There was no good decision for him back in May. The people were still fighting with the shock of the Coronapocalypse, stimulus checks were being mailed out and unemployment offices around the country were so overwhelmed they couldn’t process the claims quickly enough to make the weekly report even close to accurate. Trump, rightly, prioritized that while making his opposition to the looting and rioting plain for everyone to see on his Twitter feed, while allowing the local officials the leeway to deal with the problems as they saw fit. During two major concomitant crises Donald Trump acted as a President we’re supposed to have, one that governs via the principles of Federalism as laid out in the Constitution, rather than as a dictator. He may have publicly upbraided New York Governor Andrew Cuomo for his mishandling of the COVID-19 outbreak, but he didn’t usurp Cuomo’s authority. New York City Mayor Bill DeBlasio may have purposefully allowed parts of his city to burn and undermine the authority and legitimacy of his police force, but Trump didn’t send in Federal troops to quell the situation. Rather he let DeBlasio and Cuomo hang themselves. Cuomo is done as he is now revealed to be a “Grandma Killer” for political reasons and under Dept. of Justice investigation for his actions. DeBlasio is now finished, revealed as a hyper-sympathizer with BLM who has now left Manhattan out to dry, sparking a mass exodus out of the city which was already underway thanks to Trump’s SALT deduction removal under the tax cut from 2017 and the new normal of people working from home thanks to the official story that COVID-19 will kill us all. The same thing happened in Minneapolis with the George Floyd riots and now Trump, according to the latest polling is up 5 points in Minnesota and six mayors of major cities there openly endorsed Trump’s re-election. This segment from Tim Pool is really good, going over the dramatic shift in the polling (polling stuff begins at 4:16). Weeks ago, I told you that I thought Trump was set to win re-election based solely on the DNC choosing Sen. Kamala Harris as Joe Biden’s running mate. At that point, the polling map, according to 270 to Win had Trump with just 107 Electoral College Votes locked down. Today, after weeks of continued riots and escalating violence which, I hope, crested in Kenosha, Wisconsin last week with Kyle Rittenhouse’s life-changing evening, that map looks completely different. And the Democrats are officially freaking out. This map is far closer to what the truth was back in July if the polls were anything close to accurate, which they most certainly are not. Between Democrat over-sampling, bad pools of potential respondents and clear suppression of voter preference for fear of reprisal, most of these polls are still skewed between 3 and 5 points in Biden’s favor. Look, it’s bad for the media’s business if the election narrative is a blow out for either candidate. So the polls are primarily used to shape public opinion rather than reflect it to keep the story relevant. The last thing the Democrats and their allies in the media actually want is for people to accept as fait accompli that Trump will win. But with the abject panic on the faces of every major political operative in league with or campaigning as a Democrat, it’s clear this story is one they can’t create out of whole cloth and staged events. Now Biden is talking about finally coming out of his gimp cellar to campaign in battleground states like Wisconsin, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Arizona. But it won’t work. He’s already lost those states to the angry mob he sat back and encouraged. Trapped by his own incompetence, shrinking mental faculties and bad advice Biden is now facing the same problem that Hillary Clinton faced in 2016. He’s having to play clean up in states he thought he had won rather rather than attack states he needs to win. Biden going to Pennsylvania ensures Florida goes for Trump. Trump, like he did in 2016, campaigning in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, can now go into supposed Blue Wall states and really force the issue there. If the DNC has to spend one dollar in places like New Jersey, Oregon or New York, it’s a net win for Trump to go after those places, even if all he does is tweet a bit and show up for an event or two. Meanwhile, New Mexico comes back into play because Dopey Weed Guy, Gary Johnson, isn’t pulling big numbers away from Trump there. Sometimes the best thing a leader can do is nothing at all. It flies against modern political doctrine that a leader needs to be seen as pro active and engaged all the time. By keeping his head in the crisis at hand while staying it in local affairs Trump gained political points with people who were betrayed by the people they voted for. Remember, all politics is local. Political strategists removed from the scene tend to forget this. They think nationally, as Tim Pool pointed out in the video linked above. They forget that people in Portland Oregon voted for Ted Wheeler. People in New York voted for Bill DeBlasio and Andrew Cuomo. And voting for someone is a psychological barrier. People vote first for the person they most identify with or aspire to have in their lives. Upper middle class, midwit (H/T Michael Malice), Democrats hate Donald Trump because he is vulgar to them. Their votes won’t change, but at the same time, they also won’t abide someone failing to protect them from looting and rioting. And there is nothing worse than a voter scorned, especially a female voter scorned. This has been the real dynamic at play here. Trump doesn’t have to turn those folks to his side to win this fight, he just has to allow voters to feel betrayed by their people. Many of them will stay home, or vote third party. Those less committed will pull the lever for Trump and refuse to vote Democrat locally ever again. And it was clear that a few of Trump’s advisers understood what was really happening far better than the Twitterati who only play at being strategic thinkers. Jumping into the fray early, betraying the Constitution and undermining the authority of local officials was the advice of panicky losers, not those with a Gorilla Mindset. It takes a hard heart to let cities burn and people’s lives be destroyed in the short term to gain a strategic advantage in the longer term. Both sides thought they were doing this. Only one of them would be right about the outcome. The stage is set, now all that is left is to shore up how the votes are counted to put this insurrection to bed properly, peacefully. *  *  * Join my Patreon if you want clear-headed political analysis and not loserthink.  Install the Brave Browser to undermine Google’s panopticon
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Busted! Who’s Behind The Fake Pandemic?

Was it those meddling kids again?
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California's Radical Brainwashing Curriculum Soon To Be Mandatory

California's Radical Brainwashing Curriculum Soon To Be Mandatory Tyler Durden Mon, 08/31/2020 - 19:45 Authored by Mike Shedlock via MishTalk, Look out. Radical brainwashing will soon start. California will lead the way. Radical Indoctrination A new California bill would establish a K-12 curriculum mandating classes in the ‘four I’s of oppression,’ ideological, institutional, interpersonal and internalized. The bill has sailed through the Senate and Governor Gavin Newsom is expected to sign it according to a WSJ Editorial. Last year California’s Assembly passed its ethnic-studies bill known as AB 331 by a 63-8 vote. Then the state department of education put forward a model curriculum so extreme and ethnocentric that the state Senate’s Democratic supermajority balked. The curriculum said among other things that “within Ethnic Studies, scholars are often very critical of the system of capitalism as research has shown that Native people and people of color are disproportionately exploited within the system.” The bill was put on ice, but protests and riots in recent months gave Sacramento’s mavens of racial division more leverage. The model curriculum now on the education department’s website says the course should “build new possibilities for post-imperial life that promotes collective narratives of transformative resistance.”  Among the approved topics: “Racism, LGBTQ rights, immigration rights, access to quality health care, income inequality,” and so on. What about the fifth “I” of indoctrination? One course outline tips its hat at this. “Students will write a paper detailing certain events in American history,” it says, “that have led to Jewish and Irish Americans gaining racial privilege.”  This is ugly stuff, a force-feeding to teenagers of the anti-liberal theories that have been percolating in campus critical studies departments for decades. Enforced identity politics and “intersectionality” are on their way to replacing civic nationalism as America’s creed.  The 1619 Project The California Bill is related to thinking of the New York Times' 1619 Project. The goal of The 1619 Project is to reframe American history by considering what it would mean to regard 1619 as our nation’s birth year. Doing so requires us to place the consequences of slavery and the contributions of black Americans at the very center of the story we tell ourselves about who we are as a country. The WSJ Laments  Conservatives and fair-minded liberals are alarmed that high schools are drawing up plans to teach the “1619 project,” the New York Times ’ revisionist account of race and the American founding, in history classes. The reality is turning out to be worse. The largest state in the union is poised to become one of the first to mandate ethnic studies for all high-school students, and the model curriculum makes the radical “1619 project” look moderate and balanced. These writers do not understand capitalism, free markets, or the path of destruction  of countries like Venezuela.  Indoctrination Ideas * Capitalism is bad * The Irish and Jews unfairly got ahead * We need slave reparations   * We need to teach "collective narratives of transformative resistance," whatever the hell that means. Radically Dangerous Ideas These indoctrination ideas are radically dangerous. Few understand the origins for what they are: union pandering for the primary benefit of the teachers who espouse the ideas.  Income Inequality is a Feature Not a Detriment  Indeed income inequality is actually a benefit of capitalism. History teaches us what happens when the states take over farms and mandate everyone get the same rewards no matter how much they produce.  The extreme nature now is largely due to government and Fed interference that distorts capitalism, not capitalism itself. That's the curriculum that needs to be taught.
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Polling Firm Rasmussen Warns About "National Poll Suppression" As Biden Lead Slumps To Just 2Pts

Polling Firm Rasmussen Warns About "National Poll Suppression" As Biden Lead Slumps To Just 2Pts Tyler Durden Mon, 08/31/2020 - 17:05 Update (1700ET): Just as this report was released, a new National Poll did get released from Emerson College that showed Biden's lead down to just 2pts. Since the Emerson College July national poll, President Donald Trump has tightened the presidential race to a two-point margin, and is now trailing former Vice President Joe Biden 49% to 47%. Spencer Kimball, Director of Emerson College Polling explains “the Republican convention gave Trump his most positive week of news coverage which likely attributes to his bounce in this month’s poll and increasing job approval.” The spread across voting patterns is dramatic... For the first time since he’s taken office, Trump’s job approval rating is approaching a majority, at 49% approval and 47% disapproval. This is a jump of four points since July, where Trump had 45% approval and 51% disapproval. *  *  * Authored by Paul Joseph Watson via Summit News, Polling firm Rasmussen claims that “national poll suppression” is taking place in order to hide President Trump gaining on Joe Biden. “OK folks, no joke, this is now a national poll suppression story,” tweeted the company. “WHERE. ARE. THE. POLLS. ???” OK folks, no joke, this is now a national poll suppression story. WHERE. ARE. THE. POLLS. ??? https://t.co/wYtLlLOxnI pic.twitter.com/x63nNADL0x — Rasmussen Reports (@Rasmussen_Poll) August 31, 2020 The tweet featured a screenshot from Real Clear Politics showing that no polls have been released that cover the week after August 25th, which is before the rioting and looting in Kenosha, Wisconsin took place. As another Twitter user pointed out, “From August 1-15 there were 16 polls that came out. From August 16-31 there have been only 8 and none covering a later date than the 25th.” From August 1-15 there were 16 polls that came out. From August 16-31 there have been only 8 and none covering a later date than the 25th. pic.twitter.com/x5My6ra7Mw — Grab Your Popcorn (@furioustheguy) August 31, 2020 While other polls had Biden ahead by 9 points before last week’s riots, Rasmussen had Trump trailing by a single point. A poll conducted by a less known firm also indicates that Trump now has a three-point lead in the national popular vote, and has forged ahead to a seven-point lead in key battleground states. Are polling firms suppressing polls in an attempt to derail Trump’s momentum? As we previously highlighted, support for Black Lives Matter (which Biden has advocated) in the key swing state of Wisconsin has plummeted from +25 approval to zero amidst the riots in Kenosha. Anecdotal evidence also suggests that “lifelong Democrats” are now intent on voting for Trump due to the riots. *  *  * In the age of mass Silicon Valley censorship It is crucial that we stay in touch. I need you to sign up for my free newsletter here. Also, I urgently need your financial support here.
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Sunday, August 30, 2020

"It's All One Big Trade"

"It's All One Big Trade" Tyler Durden Sun, 08/30/2020 - 20:50 Following up on our earlier discussions of the myriad of market abnormalities observed in today's market (here and here), Bank of America's Research Investment Committee has come up with an alternative, somewhat simpler explanation for some of the most patently absurd events seen in markets in more than one generation. According to BofA's Jared Woodard, the crowded trades – growth vs. value, large vs. small, US vs. EAFE, market cap vs. equal-weight, USD vs. EM FX, Treasury bonds – stay crowded because there is no alternative in a world of shrinking returns on capital. It gets better: BofA contends that in 2020 "Treasuries = tech & Tesla": plunging discount rates & excess liquidity push the value of long-term cash flows toward infinity. That means that, as the chart below shows, bond yields - currently at all time lows - "have never before explained this much of tech returns." This unprecedented dependence on ever lower yields is why defensive growth stocks (tech & health care) now account for just 18% of US jobs but now comprise >54% of the S&P 500 market cap (and, if projected at the current pace, 100% by 2024). Meanwhile, the Fed keeps injecting more and more liquidity even as growth is scarcer and scarcer. As a result of this maximum liquidity in a world of scarce growth. the Fed has created an ever larger series of asset bubbles. And when real interest rates are negative as they are now, there is every incentive to chase low-probability, high-impact upside according to Woodard. In short, any vehicle with a chance at large returns becomes a cheap call option. Just two examples: in 2020 investors are once again pouring cash into “blank check” IPOs or Special Purpose Acquisition Companies, just as they did in the summer of 2007. As we first discussed several weeks ago, SPACs have no operations but simply raise funds for undetermined future acquisitions. At the same time, one bitcoin costs more than $11,000. That’s more than the average US household makes in two months. Despite the asset bubbles observed virtually everywhere, BofA says that economic stagnation remains its base case: "more stimulus and early vaccines at best get us to the 2019 ante of low growth and precarious wages/EPS." A stagnant world also makes yields more valuable as interest rates everywhere trend toward zero. As such, today a record 79% of the S&P 500 offers dividends greater than the 10-year Treasury yield. In summary, "stagnant GDP, deepening inequality, and the threat of policy failure make us bullish on the things we don’t want to buy (growth, large caps, US) and bearish on the things we want to own (value, small caps, EAFE) because, without an economic transformation, any reversal in the ranks of market winners & losers can only last a season." * * * Finally, speaking of things "nobody wants to buy but has to", and how "it's all one big trade", here is an excerpt from the latest Bear Trap report citing a west coast CIO on the recent surge in Tesla: "Tesla is the key to this market, all are in Elon's world, I am ignoring everything else, rates, dollar, etc.. for now. They are truly minor in comparison until Tesla breaks. And vol is underpriced on the upside still in my mind. Tesla's run likely to end on a blow-off top, 100B volume, we are talking about a 300-400 dollar candle, no way this ends quietly, really think it ends with a flash crash in NDX. I still think October is badly mis-priced to the upside, TSLA can easily see 30% higher before it reverses. Puts are stupidly expensive if you go way out on the wing, you can sell a January $200 put for over 2 bucks, that's insane. Crypto is the only asset with more convexity than Tesla. Outside bitcoin, TSLA defines parabola in terms of company in the history of stocks with any meaningful market cap. My gut tells me Elon does a massive secondary into SPX add, like $30B. Tesla would come out with the world's best auto-balance sheet, on par with Toyota."
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Top US General Exposes Deep State Coup Against the President

The American Deep State is showing signs of desperation and weakness.
http://dlvr.it/RffkmT

Why America's Poor Are Praying For A Market Crash

Why America's Poor Are Praying For A Market Crash Tyler Durden Sun, 08/30/2020 - 19:35 Last week we showed that following the July 31 "fiscal cliff", which saw the end of the $600 weekly emergency unemployment benefit and as a result, weekly unemployment insurance benefit payments were cut in half, from $25BN pre-July 31 to just over $10 BN after... ... spending among those most reliant on government stimulus - namely Americans who currently receive Unemployment Insurance payments  - had tumbled even as spending by all other social groups continued to recover. Bank of America examined spending trends of the population of card holders who receive UI through ACH (direct deposit) and compared to all other households. What it found was a dramatic divergence as the YOY rate of growth for UI recipients slowed dramatically but increased for the broader population since Aug 1st. The drop in spending was also observed by income bucket: over the first two weeks since July 31, the YOY spending growth rate slowed by 12% for the unemployed cohort (formerly) earning under $50K vs. a roughly 5% drop for the middle and upper income cohorts. Bank of America then reran the analysis one week later and found that total card spending, as measured by BAC aggregated credit and debit card data, continued to grind sideways, running at a 1.4% yoy rate for the 7-day period ending Aug 22nd, just fractionally higher than 2019. However, as was the case one week ago, there were two important distinctions: i) The decline in unemployment insurance continues to impact the lower income population disproportionately, and ii) The decline in UI is affecting discretionary spending. Some more details: * The decline in UI is impacting the lower income population disproportionately: BofA examined spending trends of the population of card holders who receive unemployment insurance (UI) through ACH (direct deposit) and when comparing that to all other households, saw a decisive differential – since July 31st, the YOY growth rate in total card spending for the UI cohort has declined while it has increased for the rest of the population. This is particularly clear when examining the income level data which shows a 17% slowdown in the yoy growth rate for the cohort earning under $50K - a deterioration from the -12% drop observed a week ago (see above), and a roughly 6% slowdown for the middle/upper income cohorts. The decline in UI is affecting discretionary spending: Looking at the data by sector, the UI recipients cut back the most on clothing and home improvement spending and the least on gas and restaurants/bars (Chart 1). This compares to small increases in the growth rate of spending for the non-ACH UI recipient across these categories with the exception of home improvement. As time goes on, this decoupling in spending between recipients of unemployment benefits and everyone else will only gross, especially once Trump's stopgap executive order fades away some time in late September, unless of course Congress gets off its ass and passes yet another stimulus package. When could that happen? Well, if Democrats get their way, certainly not before the Nov 3 election, but there is one catalyst that could wake Congress from its theatrical stupor and spark legislation much sooner. A market crash.  According to a separate note from Bank of America's derivatives team led by Benjamin Bowler, the market once again finds itself in a Catch 22 - it is being held up by the promise of fiscal and monetary stimulus, which may not be forthcoming without pressure from a market selloff. In other words, for stocks to hit new highs they will have to crash again. From the report: On the fiscal side, the expiration without replacement of extended unemployment benefits may already be hurting economic and market fundamentals. The importance of this program to the recovery can't be overstated. Quoting our US economists, "absent government support disposable income would have fallen the most in history; with that support it has risen the most in history." * * * As markets continue their steady climb, two key engines of the rally may be running out of steam. The first is fiscal support - the critical but expired unemployment extension is unlikely to be restored soon. The second is the Fed, which stopped growing its balance sheet in June, deemed yield curve control a no-go last week, and faces new chances to step off the gas in Jackson Hole (27-Aug) and the Sep FOMC. Even if the Fed stands ready to act again, it will likely be in response to a market shock, which also looks needed to break the fiscal logjam. BofA's conclusion: "perversely, a [market] shock looks increasingly necessary to force policy measures allowing the market to sustain these levels to begin with." In other words, America's poorest - those who rely on unemployment insurance to live - are (or should be) praying for a market crash which will force Congress to act. Which begs the question: will those same "poorest" stop killing each other across the US in the name of some ideological fallacy, and will they all finally congregate in front of the Marriner Eccles building and demand full accountability (a very polite way of putting it) from the Fed - the source of most of America's troubles, as even Rabobank admitted last week.
http://dlvr.it/RffgXL

Trump Goes After Failed Democrat-Run Cities As Violence Erupts In Chicago And NYC 

Trump Goes After Failed Democrat-Run Cities As Violence Erupts In Chicago And NYC  Tyler Durden Sun, 08/30/2020 - 19:10 President Trump emphasized at the Republican National Convention last week that Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden is ignoring the surge in violent crime across major US metropolitan areas.  "When there is police misconduct, the justice system must hold wrongdoers fully and completely accountable, and it will. But what we can never have in America — and must never allow — is mob rule," the president said. "In the strongest possible terms, the Republican Party condemns the rioting, looting, arson, and violence we have seen in Democrat-run cities like Kenosha, Minneapolis, Portland, Chicago, and New York." With 64 days left until the Nov. 3 election, Trump is once again making the implosion of Democrat-run cities a centerpiece of his campaign against Biden.  "This election will decide whether we will defend the American way of life, or whether we allow a radical movement to completely dismantle and destroy it," Trump said at the convention.  The continuing violence seen in Democrat-run cities, like Chicago and New York City, is alarming and explains why city-dwellers are fleeing for suburban life.   To Trump's point, at least 40 people were shot, including ten fatally, during another weekend of soaring gun violence in Chicago, America's murder capital.  The city's most recent shooting occurred Sunday afternoon at the Lumes Pancake House in the 11600 block of Western Avenue. Five people were injured, and one died after an unidentified person in a white SUV opened fire at diners enjoying a weekend meal at the outdoor restaurant, reported NBC Chicago.  RIGHT NOW: Six people shot, one fatally at Lumes Pancake House on Chicago’s South Side, police say. Victims were apparently eating outside in white tent when someone fired. Officers believe it was a targeted attack. @cbschicago pic.twitter.com/O4AHjPO0G5 — Steven Graves (@StevenGravesTV) August 30, 2020 In response, former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani tweeted Sunday: "4 police officers shot: 2 in Democrat St. Louis, 2 in Chicago."  Giuliani continued, "@realDonaldTrump has offered both Federal assistance. Hidin' Biden finally stated his basement. but said nothing about this violence at DNC. "Silence is assent." (Biden, DNC, 2020.) "  4 police officers shot: 2 in Democrat St. Louis, 2 in Chicago.@realDonaldTrump has offered both Federal assistance. Hidin’ Biden finally issued a statement from his basement. but said nothing about this violence at DNC. “Silence is assent.” (Biden, DNC, 2020.)#BackTheBlue — Rudy W. Giuliani (@RudyGiuliani) August 30, 2020 As for the city formerly governed by Giuliani, New York has yet to release official data of violent crime this weekend, but the union representing 50,000 active and retired NYPD police officers in the city said "25 people were shot from Saturday morning to 7 am today. That makes 58 people shot this week. That's a 100% increase in shooting victims from the same week last year."  25 people were shot from Saturday morning to 7am today. That makes 58 people shot this week. That’s a 100% increase in shooting victims from the same week last year. — NYC PBA (@NYCPBA) August 30, 2020 While the Biden campaign has only just begun to condemn the ongoing violence in Kenosha, Wisconsin, and elsewhere, the Trump administration's angle of attack should be very clear to readers: convince American voters Republicans can save imploding Democrat-run cities, just like Giuliani did in the early 1990s when exhausted voters handed him control o Democrat-dominated New York.   So far, it could be working... 
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"It Is Literally Everything": Desperate, Vulnerable Elon-Musk-Believers Beg Neuralink For Disease Help

"It Is Literally Everything": Desperate, Vulnerable Elon-Musk-Believers Beg Neuralink For Disease Help Tyler Durden Sun, 08/30/2020 - 17:05 All we can say is that we hope Elon Musk's questionable Neuralink demonstration that was given days ago was legitimate. Because otherwise, the hope Musk is drumming up in desperate people who suffer from ailments (and whose family members and close friends suffer from ailments) would only be akin to the faith healers and psychic hotlines of the 1990's.  While we don't necessarily endorse the idea that Musk faked the Neuralink presentation (although after Tesla's Solar Roof Tile and battery swap presentations, we would certainly have good reason to), we wanted to highlight the gravity of claims that Musk has made about Neuralink. It goes beyond cleaning up your carbon footprint and pulls at the emotional heartstrings of many who are suffering. Musk has claimed that Neuralink would eventually be able to "help cure neurological conditions like Alzheimer's, dementia and spinal cord injuries and ultimately fuse humankind with artificial intelligence". This sent droves of desperate people looking for relief to Twitter, as was documented by the Twitter account @GretaMusk in a thread on Saturday. "It is literally everything," one person wrote. "I can't stop crying...it means help for my son." Another wrote: "My daughter has Rett syndrome" and "I wonder if Neuralink could potentially help people like her." Others sought relief from PTSD, bi-polar disorder and lupus.  This is what happens when a serial #fraud appears on society's center stage. cc: @MelaynaLokosky #Tesla $TSLAQ 1/3 pic.twitter.com/oetCwobfUf — Greta Musk (@GretaMusk) August 30, 2020 Other people Tweeted, seeking relief for their friends and family members from Alzheimers, dystonia and pontocerebellar hypoplasia: This is what happens when a narcissistic sociopath is allowed to promise everything without being responsible for anything. cc: @montana_skeptic #Tesla $TSLAQ 2/3 pic.twitter.com/DsoUBAqZjs — Greta Musk (@GretaMusk) August 30, 2020 "I hope you can look into helping people like me," one person wrote, "...who suffer from trigeminal neuralgia". Others continued to ask for relief from ailments like OCD, depression and anxiety - even blindness. This is what happens when a celebrity billionaire is regarded as humanity's savior, and offers false hope to the hopeless. cc: @Tweetermeyer #Tesla $TSLAQ 3/3 pic.twitter.com/yCV5jQ614b — Greta Musk (@GretaMusk) August 30, 2020 Former neuroscience researcher turned Gizmodo journalist Shoshana Wodinsky was - well, less than convinced and less than enthused by the demo. She called Neuralink's claims "impossible" and said, on the night of the demonstration: "I did not spend 5 years getting a neuroscience degree to watch this manchild literally brainfuck a pig on stage."  mfw elon fanboys are still blowing up my tl bc i pointed out neuralink’s claims are impossible like 24 hrs ago pic.twitter.com/DyQMM6BDZR — shoshana wodinsky (@swodinsky) August 29, 2020 Neuralink has said that it aims to "implant wireless brain-computer interfaces that include thousands of electrodes in the most complex human organ to help cure neurological conditions like Alzheimer's, dementia and spinal cord injuries and ultimately fuse humankind with artificial intelligence," according to Reuters. Musk continued to tout that line of thinking, stating on Friday: "An implantable device can actually solve these problems." To demonstrate it, Musk showed what appeared to be a demonstration of Neuralink on a pig named Gertrude. Musk narrated: "The beeps you are hearing are real-time signals from the Neuralink in Gertrude's head. This Neuralink connects to neurons that are in her snout. Whenever she shuffles around and touches something with her snout that sends out neural spikes that are detected here." Here's what the pig demonstration looked like when it happened:  Elon Musk tests Neuralink On Pigs during Live Demo #Neuralink #ElonMusk #neurolink pic.twitter.com/0ylu7DFVwF — Luke Gilfillan (@LukeGilfillan1) August 29, 2020 "On the screen you can see each of the neural spikes," he continued. Talking about the safety of the product, he said: "I could have a Neuralink right now and you wouldn't know. Maybe I do." "It's kind of like a Fitbit in your skull with tiny wires," Musk continued.  But, as we noted, not everyone was sold on the demonstration: Did the pig have a scar on its head? Was there an X-Ray? Did its head respond to a metal detector? Did Elon Musk offer any proof the pig actually had a chip in its head? — Quoth the Raven (@QTRResearch) August 30, 2020 For the sake of those holding out hope, we hope Elon was on the up-and-up. But again, we aren't talking about people's cars here, we're talking about people's lives. If we were you, we'd tread lightly, Elon...
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Saturday, August 29, 2020

Most COVID-19 Deaths In Palm Beach County Can't Be Attributed To Coronavirus Alone, Medical Records Reveal

Most COVID-19 Deaths In Palm Beach County Can't Be Attributed To Coronavirus Alone, Medical Records Reveal Tyler Durden Sat, 08/29/2020 - 20:30 An analysis of deaths in Palm Beach County medical records late last month revealed that "most" of the county's Covid-19 deaths cannot be attributed to Covid-19 alone.  Many of the deaths "involved comorbidity like diabetes, cardiovascular diseases, dementia, and more," according to an I-Team investigation by CBS 12.  The investigation spanned 658 of the county's "Covid deaths". Investigators found that of the 658 cases, just 86 listed "Covid-19 pneumonia" without contributing causes as the reason for death. 3 were listed as "COVID-19 respiratory infection" without contributing causes.  94 cases were listed as a "combination of COVID-19 infection, pneumonia, and respiratory infection/failure". All of the other deaths involved comorbidities, the data found. In 116 cases, the death involved three or more "serious health conditions in addition to a Covid-19 infection". One woman, who was 94 years old and had "Type 2 Diabetes, Atrial Fibrillation, and Congestive Heart Failure" had her cause of death listed as "Accute Respiratory Failure and COVID-19 pneumonia". Another record showed a 72 year old man who died from Sepsis and a urinary tract infection had Covid-19 listed as a "contributory cause." 92 cases showed that Covid-19 was a contributor, but not the primary cause of death.  Dr. Terry Adirim, a Senior Associate Dean at the Florida Atlantic University College of Medicine commented: "The fact that it skews older and people with co-morbid conditions -- that's not surprising." Yet, she still advises young people not to ignore the data: "The more you are exposed the more likely you are to have serious illness, the more likely you are to die. And if you have been infected, even if you are younger, you are going to bring it home and bring it into your community as well." She continued: "I would not recommend feeling so good about getting it. We don't have a vaccine, it's a novel virus, and yes we are doing better treating it and yes it tends to affect people with comorbid conditions, but it's like playing Russian roulette. It's very likely you're not going to shoot yourself, and it's not likely you'll get seriously ill and die [from COVID] but that doesn't mean it won't happen." "It's much more likely that we are under-counting COVID deaths," she said without offering up direct evidence, "and that's something that we see in pandemics." Investigators also found 8 erroneous deaths layered in the county's tally. The average age of deaths in Palm Beach was 77.3 years old.
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UAE And Israel Plan To Create Intelligence Bases On Yemen’s Socotra Island

UAE And Israel Plan To Create Intelligence Bases On Yemen’s Socotra Island Tyler Durden Sat, 08/29/2020 - 20:00 By South Front, Israel and the United Arab Emirates are going to create a military intelligence-gathering infrastructure on Yemen’s Socotra Island, according to Arab and French sources. The 3,650km^2 island, located south of the Yemeni mainland in the Indian Ocean, overlooks the Bab al-Mandab Strait. The straight is a sea route chokepoint between the Horn of Africa and the Middle East, connecting the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden and Arabian Sea. Most exports of oil and natural gas from the Persian Gulf that transit the Suez Canal or the SUMED Pipeline pass through both the Bab el-Mandeb and the Strait of Hormuz. Since the start of the Saudi-led intervention in Yemen, the UAE, formally a Saudi ally, and the UAE-backed Southern Transitional Council, a Yemeni separatist movement that is formally allied with the Saudi-backed government in Aden, have established control over most of Socotra Island. For years, the UAE has been seeking to annex the island due to its strategic location. The collapse of the Yemeni statehood due to the years-long instability and the foreign intervention paved a way for more direct actions. The creation of a military infrastructure there is a logical step in this strategy. According to reports, a delegation of Israeli and UAE officers recently visited the island and examined several locations for establishing the planned intelligence facilities. Earlier in August, the UAE and Israel with assistance from the United States reached a historical peace agreement relaunching diplomatic, economic and even military cooperation between the states on the highest level. The security and military cooperation in the Bab al-Mandab Strait was among the expected goals. Arab and Iranian media allege that in 2016 Israel started building an intelligence-gathering base at the top of Mount Ambassaira, south of the Eritrean capital of Asmara. The base, according to reports, is designed to monitor the conflict in Yemen, as well as the naval situation in the region, including movements of Iranian naval forces. The UAE, thanks to its support to the Southern Transitional Council, has already changed the balance of power in southern Yemen to its favor. If, additionally to this, Abu Dhabi succeeds in turning the Socotra Island into its outpost, the UAE will have all chances to shift the balance of power to its own favor even further. The Emirati leadership has been slowly but steadily taking an upper hand in the diplomatic, military and economic competition with the Saudi Kingdom, which has so far suffered most of negative consequences, including direct strikes on its territory, from the conflict with Yemen’s Houthis. The peace agreement and security, military cooperation with Israel will also contribute to this scenario. The tactical UAE-Israeli-US alliance has all chances to compete with the expanding Iranian influence in the region. Saudi Arabia, which for years was the key US ally against Iran, has been left outside of this plan. And this is very bad news for the Kingdom, which is passing through a deep economic and political crisis complicated by the barely successful invasion of Yemen.
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Amazon Orders 1,800 EV Delivery Vans From Mercedes, Commits To Go Carbon-Neutral By 2039

Amazon Orders 1,800 EV Delivery Vans From Mercedes, Commits To Go Carbon-Neutral By 2039 Tyler Durden Sat, 08/29/2020 - 19:30 When Amazon made its decision to introduce hundreds of new electric vans to its delivery fleet, Tesla's name didn't appear to be part of the discussion. Rather, the online behemoth ordered 1,800 electric delivery vans from Mercedes-Benz, marking the biggest order of its kind to date. Mercedes announced the order on Friday and announced it would "join a climate initiative established by Amazon founder Jeff Bezos. By signing up to The Climate Pledge," according to Reuters. The pledge pins Mercedes to going completely carbon neutral by 2039.  The transport sector and shipping/delivery remains one of the biggest contributors of carbon emissions on the planet.  Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos said: “We need continued innovation and partnership from auto manufacturers like Mercedes-Benz to decarbonize the transportation sector and tackle the climate crisis. Amazon is adding 1,800 electric delivery vehicles from Mercedes-Benz as part of our journey to build the most sustainable transportation fleet in the world, and we will be moving fast to get these vans on the road this year.” The order is Amazon's biggest in Europe and compliments a contract it signed last year with Rivian for 100,000 delivery vans by 2030. The order consists of 1,200 large eSprinter vans and about 600 medium-sized eVito vehicles. Delivery is slated to begin next year.  Lucien Mathieu, an e-mobility and transport analyst concluded: "Amazon’s pledge shows there’s important demand for e-vehicles from delivery fleets.”
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How Extremes Become More Extreme, Triggering Collapse

How Extremes Become More Extreme, Triggering Collapse Tyler Durden Sat, 08/29/2020 - 19:00 Authored by Charles Hugh Smith via OfTwoMinds blog, The extremes are not visible to the vast majority of participants, and so they are exposed to high levels of risk they don't see or understand. The question "Is the weather becoming more extreme?" opens up endless debates because our perceptions may differ from actual measurements since we're prone to recency bias, where what happened recently looms much larger than events of a decade or century ago. In the realm of economics and markets, our perceptions of extremes are backed up with data: based on the ratio of stock valuations to GDP and corporate sales (not profits, because profits are easily gamed) to GDP, the stock market has never been as over-valued as it is today. The rally in global stocks off the March lows is the steepest such rally ever. The unemployment rate is equally extreme, as is the Federal Reserve's money-printing: $3 trillion has been created out of thin air since February 26 as the Fed's balance sheet rose from $4 trillion to $7 trillion. Financial/market extremes are becoming more extreme. The disruptive social and political consequences of systemic unfairness and extreme wealth inequality are still unfolding, as are the global consequences of the Covid-19 pandemic. Setting aside the specifics, can we discern systemic dynamics that could make extremes become more extreme? Feedback loops are one such dynamic. Somewhat counter-intuitively, when feedback arises to moderate the intensity of a trend, that's negative feedback. When feedback intensifies the trend, it's positive feedback. Why is this counter-intuitive? If a bad trend is moderated by negative feedback, that's good (positive). If a bad trend gathers momentum due to positive feedback, that's bad (negative). When an insect population explodes higher due to ideal conditions, birds and other predators feast on the over-supply, reducing the infestation. This negative feedback moderates the damage inflicted by the infestation. If a rapidly expanding insect horde has few predators and its range and mobility increase with every generation, allowing it to find new food sources, this positive feedback enables a vast expansion in each generation--exactly what's we're witnessing with locusts. Positive feedback leads to runaway systems, i.e. run to failure where the system accelerates until it collapses. If the system is isolated, then the damage is contained. But if the system is interconnected with others, then its failure could trigger the collapse of other systems, either as a direct (first-order) effect or as an indirect (second-order) effect. In other words, in highly inter-connected systems, one failure can trigger a domino effect that can become non-linear once second-order effects manifest. For example, consider the direct effects of the pandemic on small Main Street businesses. Surveys have found that around 40% of small business owners are planning to close permanently. The reasons were not surveyed, but the obvious reason is the owners don't see a 100% return of their revenues as likely, and so it's prudent to staunch the losses by closing now rather than risk catastrophic losses by re-opening. The first-order effect of urban disorder is the destruction of some small businesses. This may push indecisive owners into closing for good, or considering moving to a safer locale outside the city. The second-order effect is the re-assessment of business owners on the likelihood of further disorder in the future. If that seems probable, or even possible, the uncertainty that creates could cause customers to avoid downtown areas, even if no further disorder occurs. The uncertainty alone will diminish commerce that was already crushed by the pandemic. There is another class of dynamics I call hidden extremes because the long-term trend appears benign even as it reaches breaking points with the potential to collapse the system. Cost is my ongoing example. The costs of operating a small business have been rising far faster than official inflation or incomes for years. Rent, utilities, licensing fees, taxes, wages, labor overhead, insurance--virtually every category of expense has climbed inexorably for years. These increases in fixed costs (costs that are unrelated the number of customers served) have pushed many small businesses closer to the edge of insolvency. To compensate,owners have cut employee hours and shouldered more of the day-to-day work themselves. But there is a limit on this kind of workaround; the owner can only work so many hours a day, and every additional hour increases the odds of burnout, a complete collapse of the owner's ability to continue over-working. I call this the Rising Wedge Model of Breakdown: costs ratchet higher effortlessly, but reducing costs encounters extreme resistance. In other words, a consequential percentage of small businesses were at their extreme limit in the rising wedge even before the pandemic. Now the wedge has broken as their revenues falling by even a modest percentage is enough to trigger losses they cannot sustain. Another dynamic that can make extremes even more extreme is the Pareto Distribution, a.k.a. the 80/20 Rule: the vital 20% wields outsized influence over the 80%, and the 20% of the 20% (4%) exerts outsized influence over 80% of the 80% (64%). Just as 80% of sales come from the top 20% of sales staff and the top 20% of households end up with 80% of the wealth, the top 4% can wield non-linear influence over the 64% if they gain the power to enforce a positive feedback loop to increase their power at the expense of the 64%. While we hope the best 4% will gain this influence, history suggests that the worst 4% (sociopaths, etc.) are highly motivated to seek power in a vacuum or when the opportunity presents itself. The 64% tend to hope for the best even as the 4% tighten their grip on the economy and social order. This is the totalitarian feedback loop illustrated by the rise of the Nazis in Germany and the Communists in Russia. But the 4% need not wield direct power; it is enough that they threaten or disrupt the certainty of the 64%. For example, if the movement to de-fund police departments triggers mass resignations of police officers, the 4% criminal element will quickly increase their predation on the 64%, who will then lose the presumption of relative safety required to conduct commerce. Again, uncertainty becomes a self-reinforcing feedback that disrupts the economy and the social order, because people make different decisions when they lack certainty in outcomes and the future. In other words, the actual crime rate need not increase by much to trigger a complete recalculation of risk and uncertainty that could then trigger a mass exodus from city centers by small businesses and the top 20% of households with the most to lose and the most mobility. Once these sectors abandon the city, the economy and social order collapse to levels that no one thought possible. Again, the point here is effects everyone thinks are linear quickly become non-linear: thus a 10% increase in crime doesn't cause a linear 10% reduction in commerce, it triggers a 50% decline in commerce which then unleashes a second wave of decline as the loss of 50% of small businesses reduces the attractiveness and safety of the hollowed-out neighborhood. In my analysis, costs for small businesses and urban residents were already at extremes that were hidden or accepted as "normal." What few understood was how pushing costs into the top of the rising wedge made the entire system vulnerable to non-linear breakdown. This breakdown is what I see unfolding in the economy and the social order. Extremes will become more extreme because the positive feedback loops of the Pareto Distribution are overwhelming the moderating negative feedback loops of resilience (i.e. buffers), certainty and institutional trust/credibility. The financial system is extremely vulnerable to disruption and collapse for the same reasons: the extremes are not visible to the vast majority of participants, and so they are exposed to high levels of risk they don't see or understand. *  *  * My recent books: Will You Be Richer or Poorer?: Profit, Power, and AI in a Traumatized World ($13) (Kindle $6.95, print $11.95) Read the first section for free (PDF). Pathfinding our Destiny: Preventing the Final Fall of Our Democratic Republic ($6.95 (Kindle), $12 (print), $13.08 ( audiobook): Read the first section for free (PDF). The Adventures of the Consulting Philosopher: The Disappearance of Drake $1.29 (Kindle), $8.95 (print); read the first chapters for free (PDF) Money and Work Unchained $6.95 (Kindle), $15 (print) Read the first section for free (PDF). If you found value in this content, please join me in seeking solutions by becoming a $1/month patron of my work via patreon.com.
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NPR Claims That Calling A Riot A "Riot" Is Racist

NPR Claims That Calling A Riot A "Riot" Is Racist Tyler Durden Sat, 08/29/2020 - 17:05 Authored by Paul Joseph Watson via Summit News, NPR published an article claiming that calling a riot a “riot” is offensive because it’s “rooted in racism.” Yes, really. The article was written by Jonathan Levinson for Oregon Public Broadcasting, the Portland NPR affiliate. Portland has experienced 93 days of continuous rioting – last night was the first time in that entire period that the city has not seen unrest – but according to Levinson, merely calling a spade a spade is a racist dog whistle. Levinson’s argument for this position is vague to the point of being non-existent. He appears upset that police are able to declare a riot and use crowd control measures to disperse violent BLM mobs. Calling a riot a riot could be rooted in racism, says reporter Jonathan Levinson for Oregon Public Broadcasting, the Portland NPR affiliate. pic.twitter.com/b2srvbEgM7 — Andy Ngô (@MrAndyNgo) August 27, 2020 His only point appears to be that because crowd control measures were also used in the 60s during the civil rights era, this means that using them today is racist, despite the fact that the clear majority of BLM protesters in Portland are white. The media now seems to be taking three different approaches to the riots. Claim that they are largely “peaceful,” as both CNN and CBS News did this week. Claim that the riots aren’t even happening at all or are minimal, as CNN political analyst Kirsten Powers did. Or as NPR has done, simply declare that anyone who dares use the words “riot” to describe the mayhem that has plagued American cities for the past 3 months is a despicable racist. Unfortunately for Democrats, the polls suggest that all three of these methods aren’t working because the unrest is turning voters away from Joe Biden in droves. *  *  * In the age of mass Silicon Valley censorship It is crucial that we stay in touch. I need you to sign up for my free newsletter here. Also, I urgently need your financial support here.
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Friday, August 28, 2020

The 7 Pillars Of Urban Preparedness

The 7 Pillars Of Urban Preparedness Tyler Durden Fri, 08/28/2020 - 20:00 Authored by Toby Cowern via The Organic Prepper blog, The 7 Pillars of Urban Preparedness is an introductory course that Selco and I teach. This is a foundational module that we refer to often because so much is built from these seven pillars. Selco and I created this framework to hang things in a logical sequence. When Selco and I first met we shared our teaching material. After sifting through it all we found we had a massive volume of material with very little structure. People were having to process the information and somehow compartmentalize it in their own minds. They could not keep up with what we were teaching in the moment because they were still trying to sort out the previous information. We realized we needed to build structures for people to hang information on. The preppersphere desperately needs that structure. As the sphere expands, without these structures, the information becomes more and more fragmented and people do not quite know what to do with the information they are given. The 7 Pillars are strong foundational pillars designed to help them with that and to help build resilience. Please remember this crucial piece of advice: These pillars are meant to be built together, incrementally, and consistently so the main structure stays level. You don’t want to build one pillar to its highest possible height when you haven’t yet started on the other 6. What are the 7 Pillars? * Pillar One: Water * Pillar Two: Shelter * Pillar Three: Fire * Pillar Four: Food * Pillar Five: Signaling | Communication * Pillar Six: Medical | Hygiene * Pillar Seven: Personal Safety Pillar One: Water Water is absolutely vital. Most of us probably already know that. However, what we see consistently is we struggle to contextualize the absence of something. Particularly water. Many people just can not fathom a world without freely available water. Even though academically we know it is possible there may be a time when we are without water, we viscerally don’t feel it. We tend to avoid prioritizing water and only make a token effort. We think we can just go buy a couple of cases of bottled water, put it in the corner and “Yay me. There’s my water. Done.” Don’t get me wrong, that’s a good start. But that is woefully insufficient. Not only in terms of actual resource, but in strategic mindset or proper planning for this preparation. We must take into consideration reasonably foreseeable problems. Is it reasonably foreseeable that there can be an interruption to our water supply? Yes, and it happens daily somewhere in the world. It doesn’t just mean the tap doesn’t work. It could also be the water is contaminated. If we fail to keep up our intake of water, we can experience significant problems very fast. A lot of people in survival training talk about the rule of threes: Three minutes without oxygen, three days without water, three weeks without food. Some even add in 3 hours without shelter, which is environmentally related. I want to challenge this because it gives a total false sense of security. Yes, you can go three days without water before long term internal organ damage occurs. But, in just a few hours without water you will begin feeling the detrimental effects of dehydration. Your mental processes will become compromised. You may not be deadly dehydrated, but you will start to make stumbling-bumbling bad decisions. So, you may just die by making a stupid decision because of your compromised mental state. Please do NOT treat this with token effort. We must understand how important water actually is. Pillar One-Water: Actionable Point The first block of this pillar is to have a water supply stored and ready to go. You will need to calculate your household water requirement. Ideally, you want to aim for a robust two-week supply of water. This is something that’s way better to overestimate than underestimate. * Calculate two liters per person in your household, per day of water as a minimum. This should come to a half gallon per person. * Based on that number calculate your household requirement for one week minimum, two weeks ideally. Household requirements means the people that are present, and the people that are possible. In the event of a crisis, is someone going to be coming to you? You need to factor them in and also factor in pets and livestock and animal effects. The second block of this pillar addresses hygiene, whether that be in terms of flushing toilets, washing clothes or washing bodies. You want to have that buffer zone. * Calculate five liters per person in your household, per day. This should be one and a quarter gallons per person. * Based on that number, calculate your household requirement for one week minimum, two weeks ideally. It is crucial that you look forward to the next stage. Perhaps you will need to have enough water for longer term, or your water may become compromised. You will want to factor in your ability to collect, transport, treat and store water. You need to think, “Where else could I go and get water from? What can I collect it with? How do I get it from where it is, back to me? How do I treat it to make it safe? How do I store it? If you have collected water in a container that has not been treated, the container will become contaminated. You do not want to put your safe, treated water back into an untreated container. Make sure you have another container or system. Pillar Two: Shelter Thinking in terms of wilderness survival shelter, it would be: what resources can be discovered or pulled from the landscape to build a suitable structure to shelter against the elements here? Urban preparedness is going to be different. Fundamentally, your shelter needs to protect you from environmental hazards. For me living here in Northern Scandinavia, we go deep into extreme winter – double-digit negative temperatures, consistently with heavy snowfall, heavy winds. Heating and insulation of houses and whether cladding and weatherproofing is a huge priority of constructions here. All of you are all over the globe and I don’t know what region you live in or what weather you live through. But the common thought here should be: is your shelter resilient to your weather in general. Hopefully, your house deals with the climate that you’re used to living in. (That would be unfortunate if it weren’t.) And, also to the extremes of that climate and any extreme weather events that could happen. Environmental threat is not just about the weather, it is also about the demographic you live in. Do you live in a densely populated region or a sparsely populated region? More densely populated areas have more people. More people means there will be more competition for resources. It can also mean the area can become more prone to violence. Density does not just refer to people. You have to consider animals.  It’s been interesting to look at areas that have gone into lockdown due to the pandemic. The ecosystem has been interrupted because many animals were used to feeding off human garbage. (Dumpsters at the back of restaurants type stuff.) Animals are becoming increasingly out of control and problematic because those normal food resources aren’t there. Animals associate people with food and will take risks to get closer to people to access that resource. Your shelter needs to protect you from animals as well. Pillar Two-Shelter: Actionable Point Think about layout in terms of actual use vs intended use vs potential use. A shelter needs to function normally and it needs to function in extremes. Not only during environmental threat, but also the additional burden of more people. For example: you may live on your own, or you may live with a partner and have a small family. What if, out of necessity, additional family members must be included. How will your shelter now cope with that? Do you have enough beds and bedding? Do you have enough cutlery and crockery if you need to house and feed more people? Or, you may have a categorical red line of no one’s ever going to come into my property, let alone stay on, or to stay here for a longer period of time. Many of us are used to simply walking in through the front door or the back door. But let’s just put it in pandemic context. If an airlock is needed to create a decontamination route into the premise, how will you re-roll to do that? How am I changing? Are you going into a garage, stripping down,  cleaning and putting on fresh clothes? What are you options for entering the residence then? That is viral or pandemic specific, but there can be other issues. For example, you are out dealing with extreme weather events getting really wet, muddy, dirty and stinky. That same sort of decontamination process needs to be factored in. How do we transition from outside to inside safely and securely? How do we transition from inside to outside in the reverse manner? The big one is: what if the infrastructure gets compromised? What if the water stops running? What if the electricity stops working? If there is a gas supply, what if it runs out or it’s switched off? What are the alternatives now to keep the shelter functioning? And what’s the longevity of those? If you’ve got a small, backup gas cylinder, how long does that work in your heating system? Remember this: one to two weeks minimum is a healthy caution. You should be thinking about if the need to heat, cool, ventilate and light your shelter for one to two weeks MINIMUM. This is not to say don’t plan for longer, if you want to plan for one month, three months or six months, that’s perfectly fine. Pillar Three: Fire This pillar includes alternative heating and cooking means as well as fire protection and fire suppression. If electricity is off, if the stove doesn’t work, if the heating is shut off, what do you have as an off grid alternative for that? Do you have a camping stove, a little gas cooker or the ability to improvise and adapt for what is suitable for your environment? As the system starts to get squeezed and the pressure begins to show, emergency services are potentially re-prioritized. You will then need to be your own fire department, your own nursery, your own school, your own pharmacy, your own hospital. All of that infrastructure and resource you’re used to accessing may not be available to you for some time. As the situation gets more serious you must increasingly become risk aware and prepared to manage risk. Pillar Three-Fire: Actionable Point Possible scenario: The electricity has gone out. You are now using candles for lighting, a camp stove or gas cooker to cook on. This is increasing the fire hazards in the home. At the same time there is going to be significantly delayed response, or no response, from emergency services. Make sure you have smoke alarms in place, fire blankets and accessible fire extinguishers. Aside from very small children, everyone needs to know where these things are and how to use them. This is very important. If you are not there in that moment, whoever is there must know how to adequately suppress a fire before it gets out of control. Another thing to take into consideration is what your residence is made of. If you are living in a brick apartment, great. However, if you live in a wood house insulated with sawdust it will they go up in flames like a tinderbox. Pillar Four: Food We are terrible creatures of habit. We buy the food we are used to buying with no regard to practicality. Especially if we eat fresh every day. Two weeks of fresh produce in your fridge is all going to by mushy and rotting within three days. When we break out of our habits because of panicked herd mentality we find that we have stocked up on all the wrong things. To those of you who may have already gone out and bought 200 kilos, 450 pounds of pasta: what are you gonna do with it? After eating that for four meals straight, you are going to be done. Cooking and cleanup are fine if everything is running perfectly. But what if the grid is compromised? Shelf Stable and long-term food do not require any sort of special storage considerations, refrigeration, freezing or particular temperature. You need to ask yourself: do I have the means for preparation? Is this something I can tolerate? Let me let you in on a little secret: No One Like MRE’s. They are a necessary evil with a few rations that are okay. But that is as good as you’re going to get. You have to try and keep familiar routines as much as you possibly can. Mealtime cannot be a war-zone. Throwing away a weeks’ worth of food is not survivable. Pillar Four-Food: Actionable Point While the stores are still open and online ordering is available, get what you can. Try to maintain a well-rounded diet. Buying a million of one thing is not going to work. To the best of your ability add variety. In my family we are fortunate to be able to create Indian food. With four base ingredients and 10 different spices we can have 30 different meals. Don’t forget the snacks, it’s going to be a stressful time. Comfort snacking can bring a profound sense of relief. Just don’t buy 400 bags of chips and nothing with any substance. The big thing to factor in is ease of preparation. Whatever you buy, just imagine if you’re limited on water or the gas or electricity is off. How easy is it to prepare? Things that require little or no preparation should be very, very high on your list. Pillar Five: Signaling | Communication Signaling and Communication are two complementary parts of Pillar 5. However, they have different meanings. Signaling relates to the devices or hardware used. Communication relates to the effectiveness and our own level of competency with the tools or platforms we intend to use. Typically many of us get tripped up by only thinking of the gadgets and hardware. Just having walkie-talkies with batteries in them is not enough. Effective communication requires the competence and understanding of the correct use of that equipment, and the actual means to communicate your message unambiguously and with clarity to the other party or parties. Pillar Five-Signaling | Communication: Actionable Point Your aim here is to give yourself as many options as you can while also being effective, clear, and concise. Ask yourself the following: * How many people am I dealing with? * What would be the best form of communication under the current situation? * How far do I need my communications to travel? * What kind of signals can I use to convey the messages quicker? Here are examples of what you can use and how for effective communication. PHONES: Set up a “Family Crisis Group on your phones. Instead of having to send the same message to 10 different people 10 different ways, you can put it all in one chat. This way everyone gets information at the same time and anybody can reply on the same thread and update. PEN AND PAPER: Think a little more traditional. Not everything has to be done on a cell phone or computer. Physically write out lists, notes, whatever is necessary. This could come in handy if, let’s say, you have someone quarantined in your home. Passing notes to them on their food trays could be very beneficial. The quarantined person could then respond in the same manner when the food tray is returned. WHITEBOARD: One way to transcend communication barriers is the use of a whiteboard. You should be able to pick up a few whiteboard packs, that include the markers and erasers, inexpensively. Having the ability to write notes and even communicate through glass if someone has self-isolated behind triple glazed glass and you’re on the other side is hugely beneficial. WALKIE TALKIES: You could also consider ham radios, but for now, let’s stick to the more basic alternatives. Walkie talkies are great to have, especially if your network coverage is spotty or you are in a black spot. I used mine extensively  when the kids were smaller. When I would go out to do things, the kids would stay in the house. Having the ability to check in on them and they could respond made them not so nervous. You have to be broad in your approach to this one. Don’t narrow yourself down to simply choosing the devices or hardware. Pillar Six: Medical | Hygiene Medical and hygiene is another double-barreled pillar. Medical is effectively the reactive side of this pillar. For example, people have gotten injured or I’ve been hurt, and I need to have the equipment, tools, means, and knowledge to treat, triage, prioritize and deal effectively with those injuries. Not only in the short term, but potentially in the long term. Hygiene is the preventative side of things. As the grid softens, or potentially goes down, hygiene and sanitation routines are easily compromised. If the toilets aren’t flushing, if the water is not running to wash your hands it becomes easy to overlook those habitual routines. Lack of sanitation, lack of good hygiene practice, is probably going to damage more people than a gunshot wound. Often, we focus on the tactical, the cool side of medicine, neglecting the basics. If we don’t have the means and the ability to manage our bodily functions and waste immediately and effectively in the short term or long term, that’s far more likely to cause problems faster than some of the other stuff. Pillar 6-Medical/Hygiene: Actionable Point Begin by looking at your ability to improvise and adapt: For instance, if you don’t have a specific piece of medical gear, dressings, or bandages, what can be used to improvise and adapt? What is the critical equipment or supplies that just cannot be substituted? Bottled oxygen is a great example: if you’ve got somebody that needs supplementary oxygen, there’s almost no way to effectively substitute that. You will also have to analyze what parts are needed for critical equipment. You might have the bottle oxygen, but if you don’t have the tube, adapters, and connectors then you’ve got yourself a big problem. Also very important is the mechanical knowledge needed to repair any of the equipment you may have. Medicines or pharmaceuticals: You need to know what is critical and is there a specific way of administering it. If it is tablet form that is relatively easy. But you need to know whether you’ve got to mix it in a vial, or it needs to be in a suspension, or requires a certain measurement or must be delivered using a specific method. And, you need to know how to do all those things and have the backup supplies necessary to do so. Alternatives for sewage and waste: Almost a third of the planet does not use toilet roll at all. There are alternatives. When I was in the stores a few days ago all the toilet roll was sold out. But there were wet wipes, napkins, and kitchen rolls. You do not need a toilet roll to wipe your ass. *Common knowledge: Do NOT flush wet wipes. They will clog your drains. If the toilet won’t flush, but you’ve got plenty of greywater accessible you just pour a bucket in that toilet and that create the flushing action. Most modern toilets are designed as a gravity-fed system. If your toilet entirely stopped working, do you have alternatives to that? Get some heavy-duty trash bags to line the toilet with and collect the physical waste. Make sure you have a suppressor to top it off with, like cat litter. Tie it off and dispose of it safely. At the very least, have a well-stocked first aid kit: * Address any medication concerns for everyone. If you’re on routine medication, you need to get as many of those as possible. Talk to your healthcare provider about accessing that. * If you or anyone else has allergies: at least two to three months of allergy medication. * Think about your non-medical needs: this can be things such as mosquitoes. They may not be a problem just yet, but if you are in an area where they will be, make sure you have supplies needed for those things now. * Tummy issues? Diarrhea? Cough? Cold? Irritated Eyes? Get the over the counter medications for those NOW. No need to stockpile. Just get ahead of the curve. Pillar Seven: Personal Safety Originally in the Seven Pillars model, the seventh pillar was self-defense. We have added to that and expanded into Personal Safety. Self-defense is crucial in that you need to know how to physically protect yourself in an attack. We have expanded this pillar to include minimizing the risk of any environmental factors that you may come into consideration with. PPE definitely forms a part of this pillar. PPE includes gloves, masks (can be disposable or long lasting), safety glasses, defenders, specialty clothing, protective footwear, cold weather gear. Looking back on the courses from one to five years ago talking about the need for PPE people put in the token effort. They would have a box of 5 or 10 masks thinking they would not need more. Now, we have a pandemic waking us up to the fact that we can go through a large amount of disposable PPE in a very short period of time. General preparedness or true preparedness is all about that bigger picture perspective, not fixating on one thing. Another thing to consider is your general way of dressing. You want to think about not standing out in environment you’re in. Just walking or driving through and not really getting noticed or having attention drawn to yourself is highly desirable. Pillar Seven-Personal Safety: Actionable Point Mindset: If you know there is a bad situation going down, don’t be there. That is as safe as you can be. For whatever reason, many people struggle with the “curiosity killed the cat: type thing. They just can’t help but head towards trouble just to see what’s going on. Don’t do it. The goal here is to stay alive and uninjured and as functional as possible. Avoiding trouble is a massive leap in the right direction toward that goal. Physical purchases: you may choose to invest in tools or armaments for your personal safety. (We massively endorse this.) You also need the confidence and competence in using those tools. One example: firearms. Let’s say you have made the decision to own or carry firearms, make sure you put in the range training time and practice time. This ensures you will be confident and competent in the use of that weapons platform in the manner you mean to deploy it. Training: The training element is crucial. Don’t get me wrong, stacking four persons deep on a door SWAT style with live fire is great fun, I love it. I do that kind of training. That is not how I plan to get my family out of my home in the instance of a home invasion. Tactically it’s completely wrong. Okay, it’s chalk and cheese trying to take that law enforcement or military application over to the civilian sphere. Make sure your training is contextual, and contextualized. Individual Risk Analysis: * What conditions will I be exposed to? * How can I come to harm? * How can I avoid or mitigate the risk of that harm? *These questions pertain to your individual clothing, equipment, and tool selections as well. You need to know what harm may come from having, not having, use, or improper use of these items. Build a Roof of Resilience The Seven Pillars has stood the test of time and is more relevant and needed now than ever, in our opinion. Think of it like this: we want to build a roof of resilience, and resilience is what we want to build. Preparedness is just part of resilience. You want that roof to sit on strong foundational pillars…The Seven Pillars are designed to be those foundational pillars.
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Apple Revokes Epic Games Developer Credentials As Anti-Trust Battle Heats Up

Apple Revokes Epic Games Developer Credentials As Anti-Trust Battle Heats Up Tyler Durden Fri, 08/28/2020 - 19:20 It's on. In an unexpectedly brash move from the staid Cupertino tech behemoth, Apple has revoked the developer credentials for Epic Games after it refused to stop directing its users to circumvent Apple's fee-collecting payment channels for its popular Fortnite game. "We are disappointed that we have had to terminate the Epic Games account on the App Store," Apple said in a statement. "We have worked with the team at Epic Games for many years on their launches and releases. The court recommended that Epic comply with the App Store guidelines while their case moves forward, guidelines they’ve followed for the past decade until they created this situation. Epic has refused." A court order last week denied Epic’s motion to force Apple to reinstate Fortnite on the App Store. However, the judge ruled that Apple couldn't terminate the developer account that Epic uses for Unreal Engine, after initially saying he was "inclined" a graphics technology that is used by many game developers. Apple said Friday that it would be complying with the judge's order, and the licensing of the unreal engine wouldn't be interrupted. Part of Epic's strategy is to turn developers against Apple and Google parent Alphabet (which Epic is also suing) in an attempt to force them to drop their fees. Like they say: 'strength in numbers'. The legal clash has angered some developers who complain that Apple’s App Store rules are unfair and that the company’s fees are too high. The backlash has also increased antitrust scrutiny of Apple, the world’s most valuable company. "Apple is asking that Epic revert Fortnite to exclusively use Apple payments," Epic said in a statement. "Their proposal is an invitation for Epic to collude with Apple to maintain their monopoly over in-app payments on iOS, suppressing free market competition and inflating prices. As a matter of principle, we won’t participate in this scheme." While we wait for Epic to respond, one Twitter user pointed out, they're already trolling Apple customer service, a move that is red meat for Epic founder Tim Sweeney's legion of fanboys Epic is also directing its users to troll Apple's customer service: pic.twitter.com/yoXr425Rgs — erin griffith (@eringriffith) August 28, 2020 Always remember...this could easily backfire. This could backfire! Apple's message is that this is an "emergency of Epic's own making" and I've seen some frustrated Fortnite fans repeating it, not wanting to be pulled into a business fight over fees. — erin griffith (@eringriffith) August 28, 2020 Because at the end of the day, the kids want their games, and they don't really understand the nuances of anti-trust law. Did not fully grasp the ramification of the Apple/Epic fight til today. Since we already had Fortnite on my iPhone/iPad, thought we were good. But then today's new Marvel season hits, and it won't work on Apple stuff. Kids not happy, demanding Android devices. Wish I was kidding — Mike Shields (@digitalshields) August 28, 2020 And while it's important to keep in mind that this isn't an insignificant amount of money that they're battling over... Most developers would never publicly criticize Apple because the company’s App Store is such a vital source of users and revenue. Epic is in a different situation because Fortnite is widely used beyond Apple’s platform. Still, losing access to the App Store will likely hurt Epic financially. Since January 2012, Epic mobile games have been downloaded more than 159 million times through the App Store, generating about $1.2 billion in consumer spending, with roughly $360 million of this going to Apple, according to estimates from Sensor Tower. ...Apple certainly has a lot to lose here. The bigger question is, is the risk as high for Epic?
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Define Treason, Define Subversion, Enemy Combatants, Operators Standing By – Episode 2262


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Tennessee Teachers Are Worried You'll Overhear What They Teach Your Kids

Tennessee Teachers Are Worried You'll Overhear What They Teach Your Kids Tyler Durden Fri, 08/28/2020 - 18:40 Authored by Simon Black via SovereignMan.com, Absurdity just went to '11'... Teachers are worried you’ll hear what they teach your kids A Tennessee school district asked parents to sign a form agreeing not to listen in or “eavesdrop” on online classes.  Parents were not a big fan of this idea, and after a backlash the district backed down. But this wasn’t the first time schools worried about parents hearing what they are drilling into students’ brains. One teacher complained on Twitter that virtual classrooms will have “potential spectators… overhearing the discourse.” Public school teachers are afraid that you might be able to hear them brainwashing your kids pic.twitter.com/jDtig5lAR4 — Matt Walsh (@MattWalshBlog) August 9, 2020 Several teachers expressed concern about parents overhearing “honest conversations about gender/ sexuality” in his classroom which usually has a “what happens here stays here” policy. Apparently these gender and sexuality-obsessed public school teachers want to have sensitive conversations with your children behind your back. Click here to read about the waivers. Punctuation is now triggering to Millennials We all know that text messages lack the nuance of face to face conversations. Without emotion, things like sarcasm and passive aggression are harder to detect. But did you know that something as simple as a period at the end of the sentence could trigger anxiety in Millennials and Generation Z? The author of a new book on digital etiquette claims that youngsters find it stressful to read text messages with a period at the end. According to the author, the period is perceived as abrupt, unfriendly, and even insincere. You already ended the text, you don’t have to be a big jerk about it and add a period! WE CAN ONLY IMAGINE HOW MUCH ANXIETY AN ALL-CAPS MESSAGE WOULD CAUSE. Click here to read the full article. Massachusetts now requires flu shot for all students The Massachusetts Department of Health announced it will require all students in K-12 schools, and college undergraduates to take a yearly flu shot. Curiously, students who are staying at home and engaged in their public school system’s remote learning are NOT exempt. There’s no corona vaccine yet, but we imagine this is a way to get everyone used to the idea of the government mandating what goes in your body. It is no longer for individuals or parents to weigh the benefits and drawbacks for their family. Homeschoolers, however, are exempt from the law. Click here to read the full article. It's not the US that is 'going mad', here's more absurdity from around the world... The old joke about the 1990s TV show Seinfeld was that it was a show about nothing. Now it looks like Germany wants to be an economy about nothing. German University paying scholarships to do nothing A German university is looking for people it can pay to do nothing. Literally. They want to pay people to refrain from activities. Anyone can submit proposals on what they pledge to stop doing, for how long, and why.  The idea is to explore how NOT doing certain activities impacts your life, and the lives of others. So for example, if you pledge to stop shopping for three weeks, they would study how NOT shopping would cut fuel consumption, plastic waste, etc. Right now it’s just a pilot program that will only select a handful of people. But if the results prove that doing nothing promotes environmental and social justice, we’re already expecting some much bigger funding for the next round. Just imagine how much better the world would be if we valued laziness and sloth! And this trend won’t end with Covid until we recognize that sitting at home and doing nothing is brave and heroic. Click here to read the full article. Germany to test universal basic income Speaking of doing nothing, “Universal Basic Income” is an idea that has caught fire with the Bolsheviks. The idea is that people should be paid just for existing. We all just get to collect money that the central bank conjures out of thin air.  Obviously some people think this will cause laziness, and rob people of achieving their full potential. But others insist it is the best way to relieve poverty and inspire creativity. So to test the idea, Germany will pay 120 ‘volunteers’ €1,200 ($1,400) a month for three years to see what happens. It’s almost like Western civilization is rejecting the idea that actual work has to be done to produce the food, clothing, and shelter humans need to survive. Click here to read the full article. Germans must walk dogs twice a day under new law Well, here’s at least one thing that Germany wants you to do: WALK YOUR DOG! Under a newly introduced plan, all Germans will be required to take their dogs for a walk twice a day, totalling an hour of walking time. An earlier version of the law required two one-hour walks per day, but that was changed after a backlash. Still– a little chihuahua needs the same amount of exercise as a Golden Retriever? And now Germans will be legally liable if they have a busy day, and don’t have a full hour to spare? Maybe next the state can micromanage the proper number of pats and belly rubs. WHO’S A GOOD BOY?? Ironically, when it comes to absurd nanny states, there seems to be no consensus: while Germany is forcing people to walk their dogs, other governments have forced people to NOT walk their dogs during the pandemic. Click here to read the full article. Great Britain bans advertising “unhealthy” foods on daytime TV Coronavirus is not the only public health emergency that allows authoritarian control of society; obesity is another excuse for power hungry politicians. Great Britain announced it will ban the daytime TV advertising of foods with more than 1.5g of salt, 20g fat or 22.5g of sugars per 100g. This includes stuff like ketchup, bacon, and cheese. This tramples free speech, but also will take a bite out of advertising and sales revenue, when companies are already struggling. And this is coming from a ‘moderate’ party… not even the most radical politicians in Britain. Click here to read the full article. *  *  * On another note… We think gold could DOUBLE and silver could increase by up to 5 TIMES in the next few years. That's why we published a new, 50-page long Ultimate Guide on Gold & Silver that you can download here.
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"Terminate Bush's War": Trump To Reduce Troops In Iraq By One-Third Just Ahead Of Election

"Terminate Bush's War": Trump To Reduce Troops In Iraq By One-Third Just Ahead Of Election Tyler Durden Fri, 08/28/2020 - 17:00 Republican leadership at the RNC Convention this week talked a big game when it comes to "bringing the troops home" - something Trump has been promising since 2016 - but which has not yet ultimately been realized. But can he deliver now as part of a pre-election promise? It looks like the wheels are finally in motion. Multiple reports citing Pentagon officials on Friday say up to one-third of all American soldiers will permanently return from Iraq over the next two to three months. This would bring numbers down from 5,200 to about 3,500 according to Pentagon officials. Trump is in the meantime expected to tout an Iraq withdrawal as a success in ending the wasteful wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.  The US has occupied Iraq since Bush launched his war in 2003, via CNN. Of course, we've been here before. Prior major drawdowns were stymied after ratcheting events over the past year involving Iran. Despite the official US mission still listed as "anti-ISIS operations" it's been pro-Iranian Iraqi militias which have kept US occupying forces busy and on edge. Senior Fellow at the Cato Institute, Doug Bandow, says this time America's presence in Iraq is indeed finally shrinking. Writing in The American Conservative, he holds nothing back in terms of reminding the American public what's at stake:  Hubris, hypocrisy, and sanctimony are all constants of U.S. foreign policy. All came together in George W. Bush’s invasion of Iraq. Most foreign policy analysts, other than the neoconservative war enthusiasts who dominated Bush administration decision-making, recognize that America’s unjustified aggression was a horrid bungle. The U.S. broke international law, vilified European allies, wrecked Iraq, triggered sectarian war, victimized religious minorities, and empowered Iran. The human toll was hideous: Washington’s war killed thousands of Americans, wounded tens of thousands of U.S. personnel, killed hundreds of thousands of Iraqi civilians, and displaced millions of Iraqis. The invasion spawned murderous al-Qaeda in Iraq, which morphed into the even more brutal Islamic State. Seventeen years later Iraqis are still dealing with their broken, sectarian government, bedeviled by powerful militias allied with Iran. Bandow underscores that the Pentagon has pushed back at every turn on every attempt of the Trump administration to pull out. The hotly contested November election, however, presents an opportunity where success in this is much more likely, however. "The election-minded president desperately needs some foreign policy accomplishments. Three-quarters of Americans say they want the U.S. out of Iraq. It is time to finally and completely terminate George W. Bush’s bloody blunder," Bandow observes. But as we've noted recently, Trump's reasons for being there and "justification" for pullout have been all over the map, to put it mildly: Trump Touts "Making Very Big Oil Deals" As Condition For Rapid Troop Exit From Iraq https://t.co/RD0ROdf1NY — zerohedge (@zerohedge) August 21, 2020 For all the Trump boasting that he'll be the president to "bring our boys home", he'll need to show his base and the public something concrete toward this noble end, especially given the controversy surrounding his indefinite and ill-defined "oil occupation" in neighboring Syria. 
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